GRADY COUNTY —
Arizona State over Texas, First round
Yes, the Longhorns have battled their way into a solid position in a pretty stacked Big 12 and squeezed out some Top 25 rankings throughout this season. But I see Texas' youth and inexperience showing in the first round when faced with a stronger Sun Devil's team than their tenth seed suggests. This should not discourage Texas fans heavily, but if any of the top 10 seeds has to fall early, it'll be UT.
Tennesee over UMass, First round
Despite having to play their way in, I think the Vols are a little underrated. This is a team that beat Virginia in December, lost by eight to Kentucky, and has been through three meetings with Florida (all losses, though.) Jordan McRae is a phenomenal player who I think will make this team better. A meeting with Duke beckons.
More importantly I think Massachusetts is over rated. They lost to George Washington in the Atlantic 10 tournament, and Florida State, Saint Joseph's, and Dayton in the regular season. I know East Coast basketball is great and all, but not that great.
Kentucky over Wichita State, Second Round; and later Louisville, Sweet 16
Yes I know they're undefeated and yes I know they stormed to the Final Four last year with everyone in America cheering for their new little guy. But, this season won't be so smooth. That terrible strength of schedule has to come back to bite them sometime, and it'll come against Kentucky in the second round.
The Wildcats, on the other hand, played Florida well in the SEC title game, up until the end. They are young, passionate, excited and ready to maintain Kentucky's good name at this level. It's all the makings of an underrated team ready to pounce.